"Putin has already violated agreements". After the truce, the war may resume with new intensity – political analyst Ihor Chalenko
"The obvious beneficiary of the proposed truce is the U.S., as it aims to demonstrate its effectiveness. But why might this new ceasefire be disadvantageous for both Ukraine and russia? Because everyone understands that the truce will be used by the opponent to pull up resources, redeploy, and make certain adjustments to their future tactics. The ceasefire could serve as a precursor to an escalation of hostilities at the front, specifically in areas the aggressor deems most promising", - political analyst and head of the Center for Analysis and Strategies Ihor Chalenko told OstroV.
According to him, russians are also afraid that Ukrainians might launch a counteroffensive.
"As the issue of the Kursk oblast fades into the background, we fully understand that the concentration of active combat operations in Donbas may increase. There are also signals indicating that russians are preparing for an airborne landing on the right bank, particularly in Kherson. Many factors suggest that the war could resume with renewed intensity, and therefore, this truce will clearly be used by both sides to strengthen their positions", - Ihor Chalenko emphasized.
The political analyst noted that Ukraine, of course, will focus on expanding its network of trenches and defensive structures, but that is no guarantee that putin will not attack.
"Putin has repeatedly violated peace agreements. This is a clear signal that such a situation may happen again. In other words, there are trends that cannot be ignored", - he concluded.
As previously reported, any ceasefire gives the enemy an opportunity to regroup, build up forces, and launch a sudden new offensive.